ALL-STAR GAME! Previsões e probabilidades!

A Equipa de LeBron James e a Equipa de Giannis Antetokounmpo encontram-se este domingo no jogo All-Star 2019 da NBA no Spectrum Center em Charlotte.

 

A Equipa de Lebron será comandada pelo técnico dos Denver Nuggets, Michael Malone, que transformou uma equipa que não é muito vista a aparecer nos Playoffs (última vez foi em 2013, e raramente passou a primeira ronda), a estar colada nos primeiros lugares da Conferência Oeste desde o início da temporada.

A Equipa de LeBron terá os seguintes 5 iniciais: Kevin Durant, LeBron James, Kawhi Leonard, James Harden e Kyrie Irving. Difícil arranjar melhor, porém, terá um banco recheado de qualidade máxima com Klay Thompson, Anthony Davis, Damian Lillard e Ben Simmons. É impressionante como LeBron foi capaz de montar uma equipa tão temível, que é possívelmente a melhor equipa que já foi vista em mais de uma década nos All-Star Game. Não há realmente nenhuma fraqueza para a Equipa LeBron e eles têm homens que quando for necessários defender, principalmente nos últimos 12 minutos, eles conseguem jogar bem duro. Os All-Star Game são divertidos e espetaculares, mas a Equipa LeBron tem de sentir a necessidade de que deve ganhar este jogo, dado o conjunto de talento que tem na equipa. Qualquer outra coisa além de uma vitória confortável seria uma decepção para a Equipa LeBron.

 

A Equipa Giannis será comandada por Mike Budenholzer, técnico dos Milwaukee Bucks, e quipa mais consistente da LIga até ao momento, e ele deve estar na liderança para Coach of the Year.

A Equipa Giannis tem sem dúvida os dois melhores jogadores na disputa pelo MVP em Giannis Antetokounmpo e Paul George, e acresce Stephen Curry, Joel Embiid e Kemba Walker completando a equipa inicial. Fora Curry, há dois jogadores questionáveis, Joel Embiid e Kemba Walker, mas este último pode ser a chave, já que vai jogar em casa, o mesmo aconteceu com Anthony Davis quando jogou em New Orleans. Russell Westbrook vai sair do banco na Equipa Giannis, e todos nós sabemos o quão sério ele leva estes jogos. A Equipa Giannis é muito mais “magra” que a equipa LeBron.

No papel, a Equipa LeBron deve ganhar e bem este jogo, porém, trata-se de jogos de exibição sem sentido no final do dia se não em prol do espetáculo e ligação entre os melhores jogadores da Liga e os adeptos.

No que toca ao jogo em si, como sempre, os três primeiros períodos são puro espetáculo e praticamente sem defesa, porém, nos últimos minutos do último período começam as defesas de qualidade e joga-se “duro”. Há uma razão pela qual nove dos últimos 11 jogos All-Star foram decididos com uma diferença de 8 ou menos pontos. Mesmo quando o Oeste estava a vencer o Este, esses jogos foram renhidos.

 

– Equipa LeBron titular

  • LeBron James
  • Kevin Durant
  • James Harden
  • Kawhi Leonard
  • Kyrie Irving

Reservas:

  • Anthony Davis
  • Klay Thompson
  • Damian Lillard
  • Ben Simmons
  • LaMarcus Aldridge
  • Karl-Anthony Towns
  • Bradley Beal

Convidado especial:

  • Dwayne Wade

 

– Equipa Giannis titular

  • Giannis Antetokounmpo
  • Steph Curry
  • Joel Embiid
  • Paul George
  • Kemba Walker

Reservas:

  • Khris Middleton
  • Nikola Jokic
  • Russell Westbrook
  • Blake Griffin
  • D’Angelo Russell
  • Nikola Vucevic
  • Kyle Lowry

Convidado especial:

  • Dirk Nowitzki

 

Previsão

Apesar de não haver ainda odds concretas para este jogo, o cenário mais provável é a vitória da Equipa LeBron, tendo em conta que tem 4 candidatos diretos ao título de MVP na equipa titular.

Até 2017, a pontuação total foi subindo de forma assustadora (em 2017 chegou a 374), com a mudança do sistema de equipa na temporada passada, fez cair para um total de 293, quase 100 pontos de diferença. Porém, com o poder de fogo que vai estar em campo (basta olhar aos números desta temporada), a probabilidade de ultrapassar os 300 pontos é grande.

Tips – Equipa Lebron e/ou +300 pontos

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